花坊上海后花园论坛

　　Economic Daily-China Economic Net, Beijing, July 13 (Reporter Ma Changyan) In the first half of this year, the national real estate regulation and control policies have exceeded 300 times. How will the real estate regulation and control go in the second half of this year? Will the real estate regulation be relaxed in order to further stimulate economic recovery in the future? On July 9, China Renmin University China Macroeconomic Forum released a special report, pointing out that with the epidemic basically under control, all walks of life have resumed production and work in an all-round way, the real estate market is recovering rapidly, and the super-differentiation pattern has been further strengthened. Under the super-differentiated market structure, structural risks are more prominent, and the determination of regulation and control and the requirements for accuracy are further improved. In the future, China’s real estate market industry will show the characteristics of "super-differentiation of the market and firm regulation of policies" for a long time.

　　The market is recovering well.

　　Qin Hong, a senior researcher at the National Development and Strategy Institute of Renmin University of China, a major member of the China Macroeconomic Forum (CMF) and former director of the Policy Research Center of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, released a special report on CMF China’s macroeconomics on behalf of the forum. Qin Hong pointed out that China’s real estate market is recovering rapidly after the epidemic, and the performance of relevant indicators is relatively good.

　　The cumulative year-on-year decline in the transaction scale of new houses continued to narrow, and prices rose steadily. In terms of transaction volume, from January to April, the national real estate sales area decreased by 19% and the sales volume decreased by 13%, but the decline in sales area narrowed by 7 percentage points compared with that in January-March. The transaction scale of urban commercial housing continued to improve, and the transaction scale of some cities in May has achieved positive growth year-on-year. In terms of price, according to the 100-city price index of the Central Finger Research Institute, the price of new residential buildings in 100 cities increased by 0.31% in May, and increased by 0.74% from January to May, which was 0.34 percentage points lower than the same period of last year. The cumulative increase was still the lowest in the same period of the past five years, and the price showed the characteristics of steady and rising.

　　The land market is shrinking in volume and rising in price, and continues to heat up. From January to May, the supply and demand scale of residential land in 300 cities nationwide decreased year-on-year. Among them, the supply and demand of residential land in first-tier cities have increased significantly, and the transaction scale of second-tier and third-and fourth-tier cities has declined. The heat of the land market has obviously increased, and the average floor price and premium rate have reached a stage high. From January to May, the average floor price of homestead transactions increased by 20.9% year-on-year.

　　The growth rate of real estate development investment is better than that of fixed assets investment and infrastructure investment. According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, the national fixed asset investment (excluding farmers) decreased by 10.3% from January to April, of which infrastructure investment decreased by 11.8%, manufacturing investment decreased by 18.8% and real estate development investment decreased by 3.3%. Overall, the resilience of the real estate investment side still exists.

　　Show a pattern of super differentiation

　　"After the epidemic, differentiation is not enough to describe the changes in the real estate market, and there has been a pattern of super differentiation in the real estate market." Qin Hong said.

　　The report shows that after more than 20 years of development after the reform of the urban housing system, the sales scale of the real estate market has increased from 100 million square meters in 1998 to 1.7 billion square meters in 2019, an increase of 16 times. At the same time of the total growth, the real estate market has been divided, and the market share of enterprises, financing costs, land reserve pattern, corporate profitability and real estate markets in different cities have all been divided. Under the epidemic, this differentiation is further intensified.

　　In terms of real estate enterprises, the intensification of differentiation appeared in 2015. From 2016 to 2019, the proportion of sales of the top 100 enterprises increased by 24.8% in four years, which is increasing at an average annual rate of 6%. Under the influence of the epidemic, the sales area and sales volume of the national real estate market were still negative in the first half of the year, but the threshold value of the top three real estate enterprises increased by 8.85 points, and that of the top ten real estate enterprises increased by 5.2 percentage points.

　　From the perspective of enterprise financing scale, the financing scale of overseas debt and credit debt of the top 30 real estate development enterprises accounted for 64% of the top 100 enterprises in the first half of this year; From the perspective of financing cost, taking the cost of credit bonds issued by real estate enterprises in April as an example, the financing cost of enterprises with the lowest cost and enterprises with the highest cost is five times worse; Judging from the land market, the number of land acquired by the top 30 real estate enterprises in the first half of this year accounted for 85% of the top 50 enterprises. The larger the enterprise scale, the lower the floor land price; The smaller the enterprise scale, the higher the floor land price. There is also a very obvious gap in the cost of land acquisition for enterprises.

　　There are also obvious differences in the performance of real estate market in different cities. From the perspective of cities, the land acquisition of the top 100 real estate enterprises in the first half of this year was mainly concentrated in five urban agglomerations, accounting for 60% of the land acquisition scale, of which one urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta accounted for 30% of the land acquisition scale of the top 100 enterprises. Judging from housing prices, more than half of the top 20 cities in the first half of this year are concentrated in the Yangtze River Delta region. Not only between cities, but also within cities. In addition, there is super differentiation between residential real estate and commercial real estate, real estate demand in different lots and inventory of different housing enterprises.

　　Firmly control the policy direction.

　　In order to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, since the beginning of this year, the central government has repeatedly set the tone for the real estate policy. In April, the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting mentioned that "houses should be used for living, not for speculation, so as to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market". In May, the government work report emphasized that "the house should be used for living, not for speculation, so as to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market."

　　According to the statistics of the Central Plains Real Estate Research Center, the number of policies issued nationwide to stabilize the property market in the first half of this year was 304, up 21% year-on-year, setting a new historical record for the number of regulation in half a year. From January to April this year, the number of real estate regulation and control reached 238. With the stability of the real estate market, the number of real estate regulation and control decreased significantly, 35 times in May and 31 times in June.

　　The report pointed out that maintaining the stability of housing prices is crucial to China’s economic and social stability and financial security. In the medium and long term, China’s current housing prices are at a high level, and the fundamental contradiction in the real estate market has not been substantially resolved. The super differentiation of the real estate market makes it more difficult for real estate to regulate and deal with risks.

　　In this context, the report believes that the real estate market still needs to be firmly regulated in the future, and it is necessary to maintain "five invariants" in the direction of policy. First, the strategic positioning of "housing and not speculating" remains unchanged. The key to the policy is the word "speculation" to prevent the rebound of real estate speculation. Second, the supply system of "renting and selling at the same time" remains unchanged. The key to the policy is the word "rent" to develop the housing rental market. Third, the regulation mechanism of "policy by city" remains unchanged. The key to the policy is the word "city", and the city government takes overall responsibility for the stability of the local real estate market. The fourth is to achieve the goal of "three stabilities". The key to the policy is "stability" to prevent the market from ups and downs. Fifth, the real estate financial policy remained stable. The real estate market has always been highly sensitive to monetary policy, and the key to the policy is to stabilize the mortgage interest rate.

　　In view of the development status of China’s real estate market, Qin Hong put forward five suggestions on behalf of the forum research group: First, we should still take the goal of stabilizing housing prices, take measures according to the city, and grasp the pace of real estate development. The second is to coordinate the development and regulation of real estate with the metropolitan area as the scope. The third is to guide the transformation and upgrading of the real estate industry with urban renewal as the starting point. The fourth is to control risks as the bottom line and reserve policies and measures for various camera decisions. Fifth, systematic market monitoring is carried out with indicators such as quantity, price and finance as the core.

　　[Global Times-Global Network Reporter Xing Xiaotong Wan Lin] "I want to go skiing in Xinjiang!" On the 2nd, Mark Chanloung, a skier representing Thailand in the Beijing Winter Olympics, said in a video interview with the Global Times reporter: "I usually train in Europe, and skiing in Xinjiang can personally feel the difference with Europe. This will be a great experience!"

　　Altay, Xinjiang, the birthplace of human skiing, has become a skiing paradise by virtue of its unique advantages such as long snow season, high snow quality, sufficient snow volume and wide snow area. Mark Zhanlong told the Global Times reporter that he was glad that China had such excellent skiing conditions, and he would like to go to Xinjiang for a slide if he had the chance.

　　The picture shows Thai skier Mark Zhanlong. The picture comes from the network.

　　It is reported that the Thai delegation, including four athletes, stayed in Beijing Winter Olympic Village on January 29th. The four athletes are male cross-country skier Mark Chanloung, female cross-country skier Karen Chanloung, male alpine skier Nicola Zanon and female alpine skier Mida Jaiman.

　　It is worth mentioning that Karen Zhanlong, a female cross-country skier, is the younger sister of Mark Zhanlong. She will be the flag bearer of the Thai delegation at the opening ceremony of the Beijing Winter Olympics. Mark Zhan Long will be the first player of the Thai delegation in this Winter Olympics, and plans to participate in the cross-country skiing men’s double chase (15 km traditional technology +15 km free technology) held on the 6 th. The two brothers and sisters also participated in the PyeongChang Winter Olympics in 2018 on behalf of the Thai team, and their parents have been accompanying their brothers and sisters to participate in the competition.

　　"I feel good. I think I can make a good start for the Thai team in the game on the 6 th." Mark Zhanlong said in an interview with the Global Times reporter, "I am very happy to participate in the Beijing Winter Olympics. The accommodation and food conditions here are also good." Mark’s excitement was beyond words. On the day he stayed in the Winter Olympics Village, he couldn’t wait to try out his equipment at the cross-country ski resort, and posted photos on the "Instagram" with the caption "Let’s start the Olympic adventure" (as shown below).

　　Mark told the Global Times reporter that he had participated in competitions in Tianjin and Hangzhou before the outbreak in December 2019, and it was the first time to come to Beijing. Up to now, his experience in Beijing is good, and entering the closed loop has not affected his daily training. Although he is not so free, safety is more important now.

　　Mark and his sister Karen are Thai-Italian hybrids. They were born in a small village in northwest Italy. They started skiing at an early age and were selected for the Italian national team. "When it comes to ice and snow sports, people usually don’t think of Thailand. Thailand is neither snowy nor cold, and it is indeed difficult to develop winter sports. " Mark told the Global Times that despite this, the level of ice and snow sports in Thailand has improved. In 2016, in order to help Thailand develop ice and snow sports and for better personal development, Mark and his brother officially joined the Thai national team, and in 2018, they represented the Thai team in the PyeongChang Winter Olympics.

　　Mark recalled that there were only two years left before the PyeongChang Winter Olympics, and their brother and sister changed coaches and everything had to be readjusted. This time, in order to participate in the Beijing Winter Olympics, he and his sister prepared for four years. "I am fully prepared and confident to get good results in the competition." Mark expressed his expectation for the Beijing Winter Olympics to the Global Times reporter. He also said that the Beijing Winter Olympics also provided opportunities for skiers all over the world to communicate.

　　The Beijing Winter Olympics has promoted the further development of ice and snow sports in China. Mark once met a team from China in New Zealand, and the two sides trained together for some time. He said, "I have seen the growth of many athletes in China, and I am very happy to see more countries joining the ranks of ice and snow sports.". In Mark’s view, China has excellent conditions and opportunities to develop ice and snow sports.

　　The picture shows Mark Zhanlong being interviewed by the Global Times reporter.

　　For young people who are keen on ice and snow sports, Mark said that it is inevitable to encounter some difficulties when they are beginners, and it will become easier and easier as long as they persist. Moreover, once you master this sport, you will enjoy it, so "don’t give up"!

　　Usually, while training, Mark is also studying physical education in a university in Milan. He told the Global Times reporter that after the Beijing Olympics, he would go back to school to participate in the defense before graduation and prepare for the next competition. In addition, Rimak Zhan Long will celebrate his 27th birthday in Beijing Winter Olympic Village on February 9th. He said that there will be competitions around his birthday, and he may only celebrate with his family.

Cummings’ injury involved Guo Ailun? Sunspots are everywhere. We often say that it never rains but it pours. This sentence is really appropriate when applied to Guangsha. Wang Bo’s despair is also normal. Any coach would not be in a good mood. Last season’s playoffs, Hu Jinqiu and Zhao Yanhao were injured one after another. This season, Hu Jinqiu had already suffered a fracture before taking part in the official game. In the first game, Cummings, a foreign aid, also suffered a palm fracture, which was really too difficult for Guangsha team!

Liaoning played against Guangsha in CBA, and finally the Liaoning men’s basketball team won. Cummings, a new foreign aid from Zhejiang Dongyangguang, also performed very well. He played for 35 minutes, made 8 of 17 shots, made 4 of 7 3-pointers, and scored 23 points, 3 rebounds, 2 assists and 1 steal from four free throws. The data is still good. Because it’s only the first game of CBA, the MVP of this European league is still not used to it. I believe that after adjustment, it will definitely play its due level.

Two yuan generals were reimbursed at the beginning of the season, which was a big loss for Zhejiang Dongyangguang and head coach Wang Bo. One is the main inside center, and the other is the newly-joined defender’s foreign aid. The two lines have been hit hard, and I’m afraid the record of the first stage will be greatly affected.

However, don’t be too depressed, Wang Bo. Injuries are also a part of the competition. The previous Liaoning men’s basketball team has experienced it, and other teams have similar situations. I believe that with the passage of time, players will recover and the team’s situation will improve. Guangsha’s fighting capacity is not weak at present, so they can lower their posture first, and spend the difficult time steadily, especially for players like Xu Zhonghao. They should pay attention to their movements in the game, and don’t be punished for malicious foul, or even expelled from the game, which will eventually lead to attrition in non-combat, which will be even more costly. Mentality is very important. I hope Wang Bo can survive.

Finally, I want to explain that Cummings’ injury has nothing to do with Caring for Aaron. Two people are fighting for each other normally, and they don’t have much physical contact. There are some regional sprays with rhythm, which is not good.

"Hello everyone, I am Wu Yinping, and I am also familiar with the second aunt who are familiar with through WeChat voice." Recently, at the scene of the spiritual civilization construction work conference in Pudong New District in 2022, Xiao Bu met with Aunt Wu for the first time. She still spoke Shanghai dialect, and her tone was still kind.

During this epidemic, Aunt Wu told his relatives and friends about his experience from infection with new crown pneumonia to recovery. It is this voice that shows the spiritual character of an old party member, community grass -roots workers and Shanghai citizens, and has gained the public’s praise. Listening to the experience of her memories can still be infected by her positive energy.

Aunt Wu is a resident of the north community in the streets of Xincun Village, Hudong, and a 28 -year -old party member. Since 1998, she has been a civil affairs cadre in the community for 10 years. After retiring in 2007, she returned to the North Community where she lived.

"Our community is very large, with 95 gate buildings, and more than 5,000 residents. In March, the Shanghai epidemic broke out. I think I was a party member and should stand up and guard everyone’s safety." In this round of epidemic The earliest became one of the areas of the central risk area. Aunt Wu felt that she was responsible and rushed to the front line of resistance. At the beginning, she cooperated with the residential committee to do the population statistics of the community, and the number of people came to the family. Reporting to the neighborhood committee at 6 am, sometimes cooperating with doctors for nucleic acid sampling, and always busy until 11 pm.

In early April, Aunt Wu began to feel uncomfortable and a little fever, and he stopped volunteer service. "Later, two bars were measured by the antigen. In fact, I was a little scared at that time. It’s uncomfortable, headache, muscle soreness, especially the dry throat, and the feeling of the pills can’t swallow. "Aunt Wu recalled that at about 12 noon on April 16, she received a call from the illness and control department and was notified to be diagnosed with positive. "Since the policy is regulated, I am a party member, so I will take the lead in obeying the policy and pack the wash products and prepare for transfer."

In the voice of Aunt Wu, who was circulating on the Internet, she revealed what she had seen and heard in the square cabin, especially the living conditions, medical volunteer services, etc. "In the square cabin," big white ‘, volunteers, volunteers, volunteers, volunteers, volunteers, volunteers. They are all very good. They often encourage me to eat good meals and take a walk. These words sound very warm. Although people are in the square cabin, medical supplies are guaranteed, and they have egg milk every day. . "Aunt Wu felt that he had the responsibility to tell the real situation, and hoped that everyone would not panic.

At the stage where the epidemic prevention and control are the most vigorous, Aunt Wu’s remarks convey an optimistic and positive attitude, giving everyone the courage and strength to face difficulties. In the square cabin, she was not idle. "Although I can’t do heavy work, I can do some relaxed work and serve everyone." During that time, Aunt Wu got up to clean the floor where he lived. When they met some older patients, they helped them burn water. When you take the meal, you also take the handle and send the box lunch to the eighty -year -old man.

On April 22, Aunt Wu went home and was warmly welcomed by community cadres and residents. "After I came back, I found that everyone lived in an orderly manner, and my heart was much easier." After home health monitoring, Aunt Wu returned to the community volunteer post on May 1st. " Help and care, I want to pass them out and let more people feel it. "

In the next day, Aunt Wu will help the corridor spray disinfection water every day, and shares the positive energy to the WeChat group of the corridor. As the situation of epidemic prevention continues to improve, the demand for epidemic prevention in the community is turned on to conduct regular antigen detection. Aunt Wu is busy helping residents who have been old and without mobile phones upload test results … After more than two months of hard work, life returns to the right track. Everyone laughed.

On June 1st, Aunt Wu went out early in the morning. She first turned around in her community, and then went to the place where she often went to the surrounding herself. "It’s the same, there is nothing special." Aunt Wu regained his familiar feeling, and he returned as usual.

Aunt Wu said that under her square cabin, many people left a message saying that she was greatly moved by her optimism. She believes that, in fact, the hard work of ordinary people’s hard work and watching is the background and bright color of the civilization of the city in Shanghai. "This epidemic, Shanghai has been survived. I believe that our Shanghai will get better and better!"

Text: Huang Jing

Photography: Huang Riyue

Edit: Zhu Shengxia